talking point | the blog at LeeHudsonTeslik.com

Predicting the Next Fed Chairman

Posted in Charts, Prediction Markets by teslik on August 6, 2009

Intrade’s prediction market, which a month ago put Ben Bernanke’s probability of holding onto his Fed chairmanship in 2010 at less than 50%, now puts it over 80%. See chart below:

bernanke_intrade

Intrade’s market guesses that the most likely candidates to replace Bernanke, were he not to keep his post, are Janet Yellen and Larry Summers.

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: